Fantasy baseball managers are always looking for an edge in their leagues, and one strategy that can pay off is buying low on struggling players and selling high on those who have exceeded expectations. Below, our featured experts look closely at some players they’re targeting for these trades. They have closely monitored the latest player trends and performance metrics to identify key players you should consider buying low and selling high to maximize your roster’s potential.
By leveraging our exclusive trade analyzer and relying on advanced metrics, comprehensive player rankings, and player projections, our experts have determined which players you should target in trades and which ones you should look to move. So, whether you need a roster shake-up or simply want to capitalize on a player’s hot streak, this article is here to guide you through the process.
Let’s examine these trade recommendations, analyzing the rationale behind each move and providing you with actionable advice to help you dominate your league. Don’t forget to check out our other fantasy baseball resources to help you stay ahead of the competition all season long. Happy trading!
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Fantasy Baseball Buy Low/Sell High
What one MLB player are you trying to buy low right now and why? Also, who would you try to get in return?
Christopher Morel (2B,3B,OF – CHC )
“I still believe in Christopher Morel. Even though his batting average has now dropped below 200, he is actually showing improvements in most areas that should help with his batting average. He has a career-best strikeout percentage of 22% and is walking 11% of the time. That means his expected batting average is also a career-best 256, but he is just getting unlucky. Plus, he is still providing power and speed with 13 home runs and seven stolen bases.”
– Corey Pieper (Fantasy Six Pack)
Freddy Peralta (SP – MIL )
“Freddy Peralta has had some rough outings lately, but over the last 6 weeks, his xFIP is still 3.71 while his ERA is above 5 over that span. Peralta still offers elite level strikeout production (11.6 K.9) and pitches for a competitive Brewers team. If I could flip a Jared Jones (who’s been shaky of late) for Peralta I’d make that deal in a heartbeat. Freddy P. will be relevant down the stretch. I can’t say with confidence that Jones will be. ”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)
Randy Arozarena (OF – TB )
“I said this earlier in the year and it didn’t pay off, but now I’m back to double-down. It’s been an awful first part of the year, as he sports a .211 BABIP, which is one of the worst in baseball. Things are starting to turn though, as he is hitting .275 in June. He had over 28 K% each month of the year until his month, where it has dropped to just 13%. He’s seeing the ball better as he’s pulling the ball over 50% of the time and has a higher line drive percentage in June than both of April and May’s percentages combined. It’s a good time to get him on the cheap. ”
– Christopher Welsh (FantasyPros)
Pablo Lopez (SP – MIN )
“A buy low is supposed to feel uncomfortable. While Pablo Lopez was drafted in the first few rounds this season, he hasn’t come close to that value. Coming off another bad start on Tuesday against the Rays, this is the perfect time to pry him away from a frustrated manager. Lopez has a 26.3% strikeout rate, 5.3% walk rate and an xERA of 3.28. The actual ERA is 5.63, and Lopez has been hurt by a 1.8 HR/9, and his career average is 1.12. Ryan McMahon or Giancarlo Stanton could get it done.”
– Adam Ronis (SiriusXM Fantasy)
Trevor Rogers (SP – MIA )
“I am trying to buy low on Trevor Rogers. We are a long way removed from the borderline elite Trevor Rogers and even the good Trevor Rogers. To this point in 2024, Rogers has a 5.09 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and just 55 K’s in 69 IP. On the surface, those numbers are not good, and the WHIP and K rate are career worsts, but beneath the surface, it is a bit more interesting. Since the end of May Rogers has lowered his ERA by a full point and is inducing more and more ground balls. It looks like Rogers might be figuring out how to cope without the strikeout stuff he had earlier in his career and pitch more to soft contact. With that in mind and his ability to pitch pretty deep into games he becomes a very interesting QS innings eater ROS for fantasy squads and the best part he’s probably on your waivers.”
– Chad Simpson (Fantasy Six Pack)
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Fantasy Baseball Sell High Targets
What one MLB player are you trying to sell high right now and why? Also, who would you try to get in return?
Ezequiel Tovar (SS – COL )
“Ezequiel Tovar could hit 20 home runs and steal 20 bases this season. It would be shocking if it came with a batting average anywhere close to the .286 he is currently hitting. He has the worst plate discipline of any batter in all of baseball as he literally swings at anything. If you set your expectations to a season like we received from Anthony Volpe last season where he went 20-20 with a 209 average, that’s a safer bet than the 286 you’re currently getting from him.”
– Corey Pieper (Fantasy Six Pack)
Jordan Hicks (SP,RP – SF )
“Jordan Hicks is about to turn into a pumpkin, or at least a bullpen arm. Hicks had had varying success as a starter this year, and certainly, the Giants are right to consider him as a future rotation piece. However, Hicks hasn’t gone 6 innings in a start since April, and he has had some velocity issues of late as he reaches his innings cap. Oh, and Robbie Ray is already working his way back. His 2.82 ERA should be enough of a selling point, along with his dual SP/RP eligibility. His xERA is 3.95 and his K/9 is lagging of late as fatigue is clearly setting in, so it’s time to get what you can. Maybe a low-level closer would be a better investment for the second half of the season.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)
“This is the time to try and sell Jordan Hicks. The transition from reliever to starter has gone well. Hicks has a 2.82 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. The concern is the strikeouts are way down as a starter at 21.3% and the walk rate of 8.8% prevents him from going deep into games. He has pitched 76.2 innings after throwing 137 innings combined the last three seasons. I would aim for a Lane Thomas or Tyler O’Neill.”
– Adam Ronis (SiriusXM Fantasy)
Carlos Correa (SS – MIN )
“No doubt Correa has been red hot. Eight of his last eleven games he’s registered two or more hits. His average is up over .300, with many underlying metrics being at least above average, including his hard hit rate and barrel percentage. All of this is great, and it is shades of the Correa we have always wanted. I don’t buy that it lasts, as it never does with Correa. His BABIP is .351, which is almost 40 points higher than his career average and the second-highest of his career by .01. His bat is hot, but he still provides nothing in the stolen base department, as he has not stolen a base since 2019. Finally, his very long injury history is staring us in the face. This seems like a great time to sell high on a decent shortstop in an injury-plagued time for fantasy. ”
– Christopher Welsh (FantasyPros)
Max Scherzer (SP – TEX )
“The name I’d look to sell high on is Max Scherzer. With him nearing a return, interest is sure to come at a season-high for him, and his value isn’t too beat up because of his history of coming off an injury right into form. I just don’t think that is in the cards this year and I’d look to get what value I can before the return.”
– Chad Simpson (Fantasy Six Pack)
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